New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview & Prediction

Game preview

The Pelicans have had a rocky start to the season. After an 0-6 opening stretch they briefly steadied things with a couple of wins, but another long losing run followed and the team has already made a coaching change. Many of their defeats have been one-sided, and injuries haven’t helped — key players including Zion Williamson, Dejounte Murray and Jordan Poole have missed time. In their most recent game they fell 124-106 to a tough opponent; Trey Murphy and José Alvarado were among the top scorers, and rookie Jeremiah Fears has shown some promise off the bench.

Defensively and offensively the Pelicans have struggled. Their defensive numbers rank near the bottom of the league and their offense has also been below average, which helps explain the string of lopsided losses.

The Thunder, by contrast, have been cruising. They’ve put together an outstanding record so far and have looked dominant in most games, with their only loss coming away from home. Recent wins have frequently come by double digits, showing balance on both ends of the court. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is leading the way in scoring, with Chet Holmgren providing a steady inside presence. The Thunder’s defense is among the best in the league, while their offense sits comfortably in the upper tier.

Prediction & betting notes

Head-to-head, Oklahoma City has had New Orleans’ number and is currently on a long winning streak in these matchups. Injuries could affect rotations — Jordan Poole and Dejounte Murray are ruled out for New Orleans, Zion Williamson is questionable, and several players are listed out or doubtful for Oklahoma City — so monitor the final injury reports before the game.

Given the Pelicans’ offensive struggles and the Thunder’s stingy defense, this game projects to be lower-scoring than the league average. Expect a slower pace and more defensive possessions. My prediction: the total will finish under 228.5 points.

Tip-off: Monday, 8:00 p.m. EST, November 17, 2025
Prediction: Under 228.5 points
Odds at publication: 1.74
Suggested stake: 1 unit

Betting reminder: check the latest injury updates and line movement before placing a wager, and always gamble responsibly. Consider sizing your stake to your bankroll and avoid chasing losses.